We're a Baker Tilly network member
About Baker Tilly
Back to top
Flooding the zone: The rise of Chinese vehicle brands in Australia
Article

Flooding the zone: The rise of Chinese vehicle brands in Australia

Key points

  • Chinese brands are rapidly reshaping Australia’s car market through scale, technology and price.
  • Model availability is expected to jump from 72 to 120 by 2027, intensifying competition.
  • Fleet sales represent the next major growth opportunity for Chinese OEMs.

China’s export surge is not a passing supply event. It is a structural reset of the car market, and Australia is at the front of it. Chinese OEMs are using scale, speed, technology and price to move from fringe challengers to serious volume competitors, and the effects are already showing up in dealer accounts.

In June 2026, China exported more than one million vehicles in a single month for the first time, up more than 75 per cent year on year. This is not only an EV story. Chinese brands are shipping full ranges across EV, plug-in hybrid, hybrid and petrol platforms, and Australia’s open, right-hand-drive market is a natural destination for that volume.

The scale behind that surge is worth pausing on. China now produces the bulk of the world’s vehicles, is exporting at record pace, and has built a new-energy base that dwarfs most national markets. These are the numbers reshaping global supply, and by extension the cars and prices arriving in Australia.

China automotive industry: key indicators, July 2026 

Metric  Statistic 
Maximum production (installed) capacity  45m to 55m units 
Actual output CY2025  34.5m units, up 10.4% on 2024 
NEV production  15m+ units 
Domestic sales  27.6m; 67% domestic brands (~19m), up from 33% 
China OEM exports  On track for 12m in 2026, up from 7.1m in 2025 
Total global production  75m passenger, 92m including commercial 
Total global sales  88.75m with ~20m NEV 

Sources: NY Times, Reuters, Council on Foreign Relations, Automobility, Kalkine Group, IEA and Statista.

Chinese brands have grown from 9.0 per cent of the market to 25.8 per cent in four years. BYD is number three year to date, GWM, Chery and MG sit in the top 10 and Geely is inside the top 15. They now hold 54 per cent of small SUVs, 37 per cent of medium SUVs, 19 per cent of utes, 54 per cent of BEVs and 77 per cent of PHEVs. The weapon is simple: more equipment, more technology and more electrified options at a lower price. Once a well-equipped Chinese model lands thousands of dollars below an incumbent, the whole segment reprices in the customer’s mind.

Brand proliferation is accelerating. Ten Chinese OEMs already sell more than 20 brands here, with about a dozen more coming. Models on sale are set to grow from roughly 72 in 2026 to about 120 in 2027.

Chinese OEMs in Australia: brands and models are multiplying

Bar chart comparing the number of Chinese electric vehicle models and brands in 2026 versus a 2026 forecast. In 2026, there are 72 models and 20 brands. The forecast shows 120 models and 32 brands. Models (dark teal) exceed brands (light green) in both periods, with strong growth projected. Caption below chart: “10 Chinese OEMs selling 20+ brands today, with a dozen more coming.

Source: Manheim Cox Automotive; brand and model counts as forecast for 2026 and 2027. 

The next growth frontier is fleet. Chinese brands have concentrated on private buyers, and the five most private-weighted brands in the top 20 are all Chinese, while the most fleet-weighted are traditional players such as Ford, Mitsubishi, Toyota, Nissan and Isuzu. As these brands build residual-value track records and fleet servicing networks, business and rental channels become the next leg of share growth.

Want to understand what China’s export surge means for your dealership?

Pitcher Partners clients can access the full article for practical insights and guidance.


This content is general commentary only and does not constitute advice. Before making any decision or taking any action in relation to the content, you should consult your professional advisor. To the maximum extent permitted by law, neither Pitcher Partners or its affiliated entities, nor any of our employees will be liable for any loss, damage, liability or claim whatsoever suffered or incurred arising directly or indirectly out of the use or reliance on the material contained in this content. Pitcher Partners is an association of independent firms. Pitcher Partners is a member of the global network of Baker Tilly International Limited, the members of which are separate and independent legal entities. Liability limited by a scheme approved under professional standards legislation.

Pitcher Partners insights

Get the latest Pitcher Partners updates direct to your inbox

Thank you for you interest

How can we help you?

Business or personal advice

By submitting this form you agree to our privacy policy

General information

By submitting this form you agree to our privacy policy

Career information

By submitting this form you agree to our privacy policy

Media enquiries
Contact expert
Become a member
Specialist query
Please provide as much detail to ensure appropriate allocation of your query
Please highlight a realistic time frame that will enable us to provide advice within a suitable and timely manner. Please note given conflicting demands with our senior personnel, we will endeavour to respond to you within the nominated time frame. If you require an urgent response, please contact us on 03 8610 5477.
Responses to queries submitted via this form (“Response”) are produced by Pitcher Partners Advisors Proprietary Limited and are prepared for the exclusive use and benefit of those who are invited, and agree, to participate in the CRITICAL POINT NETWORK service. Responses provided, or any part thereof, must not be distributed, copied, used, or relied on by any other person, without our prior written consent. Any information provided is intended to be of a general nature and prepared without taking into account your objectives, circumstances, financial situation or particular needs. Any information provided does not constitute personal advice. If you act on anything contained in a Response without seeking personal advice you do so at your own risk. In providing this information, we are not purporting to act as solicitors or provide legal advice. Any information provided by us is prepared in the ordinary course of our profession and is based on the relevant law and its interpretations by relevant authorities as it stands at the time the information is provided. Any changes or modifications to the law and/or its interpretation after this time could affect the information we provide. It is not possible to guarantee that the tax authorities will not challenge a transaction or to guarantee the outcome of such a challenge if one is raised on the basis of the information we provide. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pitcher Partners will not be liable for any loss, damage, liability or claim whatsoever suffered or incurred by any person arising directly or indirectly out of the use or reliance on the information contained within a Response. We recommend you seek a formal engagement of our professional services to consider the appropriateness of the information in a Response having regard to your objectives, circumstances, financial situation or needs before proceeding with any financial decisions. Pitcher Partners is an association of independent firms. Pitcher Partners is a member of the global network of Baker Tilly International Limited, the members of which are separate and independent legal entities. Liability limited by a scheme approved under professional standards legislation.
CPN Enquiry
Business Radar 2026
Dealmakers 2026
Federal Budget 2026–27
Search by industry