We're a Baker Tilly network member
About Baker Tilly
Asset-based lending: The next phase of private credit
Investments & Wealth

Asset-based lending: The next phase of private credit

Pitcher Partners Investment Services (Melbourne) | The information in this article is current as at 1 October 2025


Private credit has changed dramatically over the past decade. Once largely focused on corporate and real estate loans, it has now expanded into a much broader universe, with asset-based lending becoming central to the story. Today this market exceeds $20 trillion globally, making it one of the fastest-growing and most compelling areas for investors. 

Asset-based finance refers to lending secured against specific assets or cash flows –such as consumer loans, mortgages, aircraft, data infrastructure or even life insurance policies. Unlike traditional direct corporate lending, which often relies on a large bullet repayment at maturity, many of these loans are structured to amortise over time. This steady repayment profile can reduce risk and help protect investors in more volatile environments. 

Pie chart showing the composition of the over $20 trillion Asset-Based Lending (ABL) market. It is divided into three segments: Hard asset-backed (orange) including aviation, equipment, and royalties; Mortgage (dark teal) including single-family mortgages; and Consumer (light teal) including auto loans, credit card debt, and student loans. Accompanying text highlights that ABL is typically senior secured by hard assets, has a highly diversified borrower base and collateral pools, and features front-loaded cash flows with attractive income and self-liquidating loan profiles.
Source: PIMCO, as of 31 March 2025

Within this broad market, several themes stand out. Consumer lending has grown into a $17.8 trillion market in the US, with loan performance improving as originations shift toward borrowers with higher credit scores. Data infrastructure financing is being propelled by surging demand for AI and cloud services, requiring significant upfront investment in data centres and hardware. Longevity-linked assets, such as life settlements, offer stable mid-teen return potential while being largely uncorrelated with economic cycles. Other areas, such as residential transitional mortgages, aviation finance, and private student loans, also provide targeted opportunities with attractive risk-return trade-offs. 

When comparing asset-based lending with corporate direct lending, the differences in risk and structure are clear. Asset-based strategies are typically backed by granular and diverse pools of collateral, resulting in lower loss rates and stronger recovery potential. Their cash flows are generally self-amortising, meaning investors steadily receive principal and interest over time, which reduces risk as loans age. By contrast, corporate direct lending is more concentrated in private equity-backed middle market companies, assumes little or no losses in underwriting, and relies on large balloon repayments at maturity. This structure can amplify risk over time, particularly if refinancing conditions tighten.  

Bar chart showing self-amortizing loans over five years. Each bar from Year 1 to Year 5 is split into interest (dark segment) and principal repayment (light green segment). The total bar height decreases over time, illustrating loan amortization. A downward arrow labeled 'Self-amortizing' emphasizes the trend. A caption below reads: 'Reduced exit risk: Substantially self-amortizing, supporting yield and cash flow.

Bar chart illustrating 'Bullet Maturity' over five years. Years 1 to 4 show small green bars for principal repayment. Year 5 features a large black bar for interest payment and a smaller green bar for principal repayment. A caption below reads: 'Reliant on capital market exit, refinancing, or sale.' A legend indicates black represents interest and green represents principal
Source: Oaktree

From an investment perspective, the appeal of asset-based lending lies in its ability to provide both resilience and diversification. Historically, returns from these markets have moved independently of traditional equities and bonds, often exhibiting lower volatility and stronger recovery rates than corporate loans during periods of stress. In addition, asset-based lending offers more effective inflation protection, as collateral values typically rise in line with prices, whereas corporate loans may see margins compressed when costs inflate faster than revenues. Importantly, deals can be structured on either a floating or fixed rate basis, giving fund managers flexibility to adapt to the interest rate cycle – benefitting from floating rates in a hiking environment, while locking in fixed rates during periods of easing.  

For investors, the yields available can be highly attractive and, in many cases, offer a significant premium over comparable public securities – delivering compelling risk-adjusted returns for investors. 

Source: PIMCO, as of 31 March 2025

The current lending environment has only amplified the opportunity. Stricter regulations introduced after the GFC, together with the retrenchment of regional banks following several high-profile failures in the U.S. in 2023, have constrained the supply of credit in areas such as consumer finance, residential mortgages, and small business lending.  

This has created a gap for non-bank lenders to fill – just as demand for credit in these sectors continues to grow. Notably, much of the available “dry powder” in private credit remains concentrated in corporate lending, leaving areas like consumer loans, housing-related finance, and other specialty assets undercapitalised relative to their scale. 

Bar chart showing the growth of private credit from 2000 to a projected value in 2029, with amounts ranging from $0.0 to $3.0 trillion. Key regulatory events are marked: GFC in 2009, Dodd-Frank Act in 2010, Basel III in 2015, and updated bank capital rules expected in 2025. Bars are segmented by lending types including mezzanine debt, equity co-investments, middle market, senior sponsored lending, venture lending, unitranche, non-sponsored lending, real estate debt, NAV lending, rescue lending (from 2020), large-cap lending, and asset-backed financing. The chart shows a steady upward trend.
Source: Oaktree

For investors, the evolution of private credit into these asset-based segments represents a way to diversify portfolios beyond corporate direct lending. It allows access to real-economy themes – housing, consumer finance, technology infrastructure and demographic change – while generating income that is often higher and structurally more resilient than traditional fixed income. 

With careful selection and specialist underwriting, asset-based lending is emerging as one of the most exciting frontiers in private credit. For investors, this evolution represents the chance to capture attractive, resilient income streams while participating in a fast-growing market that is reshaping how capital is deployed. At a time when traditional fixed income markets are constrained by historically tight credit spreads, limiting the appeal of public opportunities, asset-based lending offers a compelling alternative to enhance returns and strengthen portfolio resilience. 

This document has been prepared for the exclusive use and benefit of Pitcher Partners Investment Services Pty Ltd (AFSL 229887), our clients and our Authorised Subscribers. It must not be used or relied on by any other person, without our prior written consent. Information is sourced from third parties and Pitcher Partners believes it to be reliable at the date of publication, although we cannot guarantee accuracy and reliability, nor do we accept responsibility for errors and omissions. The information, including opinions, estimates and forecasts contained herein are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Pitcher Partners is under no obligation to correct any inaccuracy or update the information. Any financial product advice contained in this document is general advice only and does not take into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. If you wish to acquire a financial product, we recommend you seek advice from a Pitcher Partners Investment Services’ representative, and where applicable, consider the relevant offer document prior to making any financial decision. Before acting on anything contained in this document, you should speak to your Pitcher Partners Investment Services’ representative and consider the appropriateness of the information or general advice having regard to your objectives, financial situation, or needs. If you act on anything contained in this document without seeking personal advice you do so at your own risk. To the maximum extent permitted by law, neither we, nor any of our representatives, will be liable for any loss, damage, liability, or claim whatsoever suffered or incurred by you or any other person arising directly or indirectly out of the use or reliance on this information, or any changes made to this document without our prior written consent.

Pitcher Partners insights

Get the latest Pitcher Partners updates direct to your inbox

Thank you for you interest

How can we help you?

Business or personal advice
General information
Career information
Media enquiries
Contact expert
Become a member
Specialist query
Please provide as much detail to ensure appropriate allocation of your query
Please highlight a realistic time frame that will enable us to provide advice within a suitable and timely manner. Please note given conflicting demands with our senior personnel, we will endeavour to respond to you within the nominated time frame. If you require an urgent response, please contact us on 03 8610 5477.
Responses to queries submitted via this form (“Response”) are produced by Pitcher Partners Advisors Proprietary Limited and are prepared for the exclusive use and benefit of those who are invited, and agree, to participate in the CRITICAL POINT NETWORK service. Responses provided, or any part thereof, must not be distributed, copied, used, or relied on by any other person, without our prior written consent. Any information provided is intended to be of a general nature and prepared without taking into account your objectives, circumstances, financial situation or particular needs. Any information provided does not constitute personal advice. If you act on anything contained in a Response without seeking personal advice you do so at your own risk. In providing this information, we are not purporting to act as solicitors or provide legal advice. Any information provided by us is prepared in the ordinary course of our profession and is based on the relevant law and its interpretations by relevant authorities as it stands at the time the information is provided. Any changes or modifications to the law and/or its interpretation after this time could affect the information we provide. It is not possible to guarantee that the tax authorities will not challenge a transaction or to guarantee the outcome of such a challenge if one is raised on the basis of the information we provide. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pitcher Partners will not be liable for any loss, damage, liability or claim whatsoever suffered or incurred by any person arising directly or indirectly out of the use or reliance on the information contained within a Response. We recommend you seek a formal engagement of our professional services to consider the appropriateness of the information in a Response having regard to your objectives, circumstances, financial situation or needs before proceeding with any financial decisions. Pitcher Partners is an association of independent firms. Pitcher Partners is a member of the global network of Baker Tilly International Limited, the members of which are separate and independent legal entities. Liability limited by a scheme approved under professional standards legislation.
CPN Enquiry
Business Radar 2025
Dealmakers 2025
Not-for-profit survey 2025
Search by industry